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ON-button cc-licensed, see http://www.flickr.com/photos/troed/3326196676 (yes I can has GIMP skillz)
Notre Dame “construction began in 1163 and it was roughly completed circa 1345” http://www.flickr.com/photos/carlos_seo/3750383804/
this is innovation
and its not limited to one platform, difference in rate and catching up ”New project starts” – new apps using Flurry analytics http://blog.flurry.com/bid/24465/Smartphone-Industry-Pulse-July-2009 “While iPhone new projects have steadily increased by 30% month over month, Android's growth rate is accelerating, increasing by over 50% from June to July alone.”
“knee of the curve” (in this example “inflection point” isn’t mathematically correct) why this is true: “standing on the shoulders of giants” (Newton and others) and the body of technological knowledge keeps doubling -thus an exponential curve
What's the industry traditionally seen as the telecom industry, making mobile phones, cooperating with operator channels etc. so, hard to define. let’s see if it becomes easier if we start talking about open, open source
new industry new rules “The more we are threatened, the more we tend to cling to the familiar” – Kluge, Gary Marcus
picture: “Richard Stallman, founder of the free software movement, the GNU Project, and the Free Software Foundation. (Born 1953.)” http://www.flickr.com/photos/dunechaser/160405823/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All_your_base_are_belong_to_us
O’Reilly: This photo is licensed under a Creative Commons license. If you use this photo, please list the photo credit as "Scott Beale / Laughing Squid" and link the credit to laughingsquid.com.
enter pirate kitteh as well http://cheezburger.com/View.aspx?aid=2350521600
IMPORTANT: I’m not saying RMS nor Tim O’Reilly has anything to do with the Pirate Party! Lots of room for misunderstanding here. ... come to the conclusion that it's about openness ... and that means "the industry" means something other than what we're used to
... and another name for openness is the participatory culture
... and this is nothing new, really, Hippel has been talking about this since the 70s
... and a lot of people apparently read Hippel’s ideas since customer involvement went up ;)
consumer is someone who receives one way communication customer is someone who might get a word in colleague is someone you work WITH <--- that’s what we want so how’s innovation done, then?
this is how we used to ”innovate”
open components becoming the norm (like linux + webkit for software platforms) is a huge de-fragmentation
a paper that supports the notion of scratching an itch but – what else does it say? include Tor Nörretranders views on ”mkaing the world a better place” (see The Generous Man)
but xkcd’s version is shorter and more to the point
http://www.flickr.com/photos/vermininc/3437337311/
what Seth Godin refers to as the lizard brain: http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2010/01/quieting-the-lizard-brain.html
factory photo: http://www.flickr.com/photos/whsimages/954443940/ quote from “Linchpin” - Seth Godin What factory owners want is compliant, low-paid, replaceable cogs to run their efficient machines. Factories created productivity, and productivity produced profits. It was fun while it lasted (for the factory owners). Our society is struggling because during times of change, the very last people you need on your team are well-paid bureaucrats, note takers, literalists, manual readers, TGIF laborers, map followers, and fearful employees. The compliant masses don't help so much when you don't know what what to do next. What we want, what we need, what we must have are indispensable human beings. We need original thinkers, provocateurs, and people who care. We need marketers who can lead, salespeople able to risk making a human connection, passionate change makers willing to be shunned if it is necessary for them to make a point. Every organization needs a linchpin, the one person who can bring it together and make a difference. Some organizations haven't realized this yet, or haven't articulated it yet, but we need artists. Artists are people with a genius for finding a new answer, a new connection, or a new way of getting things done. “What happens when the factory goes away?” - http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2010/03/the-factory-in-the-center.html the idea of the process which just needs feeding to produce results Is dead
starfish and the spider (brafman & beckstrom) self organizing vs centrally controlled ”leaderless organisations” starfish: http://www.flickr.com/photos/topyti/2314697295/ spider: http://www.flickr.com/photos/vickisnature/4248737993/
A Whole New Mind – Daniel H Pink
Vison Mobile, 2009 http://www.visionmobile.com/blog/2009/08/open-is-the-new-closed/ vs Kevin Kelly, 1998 http://www.kk.org/newrules/blog/2009/09/avoid-proprietary-systems-1.php network effect – Metcalfe’s law innovation at the edge of the network (Larry Lessig – The future of Ideas)
how to select cannot predict the stock market neither innovation (open source is like basic research) Selecting apps is like trying to be a VC. Expect to fail often.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/hypergenesb/44194512/ mention Matt Webb commenting on Reboot11 that Wikipedia and Apollo moon landings took the same number of hours in the same amount of time? Eye-opener. http://video.reboot.dk/video/486775/matt-webb-scope ”in the 1960s a generation of explorers went to the moon. our generation ... ”
Clay Shirky (web 2.0 conf, 2008) million human thought hours, http://www.herecomeseverybody.org/2008/04/looking-for-the-mouse.html get figure on how many would ditch the TV if they have to choose (58%)? Twitter by deeped from Distruptive Media 2008 - https://twitter.com/deeped/status/1035839255 genY – the creators – the right-brainers
it’s not even up to us to ”select” the best for the user they will find the next cool invention/app all by themselves network effects
starfish photo cc: http://www.flickr.com/photos/residae/3106385327/ (cannot find a good way to put that into the slide, need to sort this out)
leaving observations perpetual change rapid increase, pace of innovation openness enables edge of the network effects
ON-button cc-licensed, see http://www.flickr.com/photos/troed/3326196676
the future of openness [in mobile] or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Participatory Culture Troed Sångberg blogs.sonyericsson.com/troedsangberg twitter.com/troed ;
http://www.flickr.com/photos/carlos_seo/3750383804/
no change change once industry development
old PC industry old phone industry SW HW new mobile industry
http://www.flickr.com/photos/dunechaser/160405823/ all your source are belong to us
(cc) Scott Beale / laughingsquid.com
changing customer involvement Evolution of Openness – Open Innovation in Historical Perspective - Saarinen, J from: User-Driven Innovation - http://www.foranet.dk
ustomer olleague onsumer c c c
in the beginning innovation = differentiation = fragmentation
standardization ”there shall be twelve teeth around a central ring with one single hole and the teeth shall be flat tipped with angled sides and the diameter must be closely correlated to individual business needs depending on the region the majority of the sales is going to be made in and … ”
open source
Intrinsic Motivation in Open Source Software Development This papers sheds light on the puzzling evidence that even though open source software (OSS) is a public good, it is developed for free by highly qualified, young and motivated individuals, and evolves at a rapid pace. We show that once OSS development is understood as the private provision of a public good, these features emerge quite naturally. We adapt a dynamic private-provision-of-public-goods model to reflect key aspects of the OSS phenomenon. In particular, instead of relying on extrinsic motives (e.g. signaling) the present model is driven by intrinsic motives of OSS programmers, such as user- programmers, play value or 'homo ludens' payoff, and gift culture benefits. Such intrinsic motives feature extensively in the wider OSS literature and contribute new insights to the economic analysis. http://ideas.repec.org/p/wpa/wuwpdc/0505007.html Jürgen Bitzer, Wolfram Schrettl & Philipp J.H. Schröder
http://xkcd.com/619/
meritocracy “The essence of meritocracy is remarkably similar to Darwin’s ‘survival of the fittest’” http://blog.limkitsiang.com/2008/07/17/university-of-malaya-medical-student-intake/
SCARY http://www.flickr.com/photos/vermininc/3437337311/
meets resistance “The old principle lives on because practitioners are not comfortable with the vision – and promise – of the new” The Nature of Technology – W. Brian Arthur Linchpin – Seth Godin
http://www.flickr.com/photos/whsimages/954443940/ ”What happens when the factory goes away?”
http://www.flickr.com/photos/topyti/2314697295/ http://www.flickr.com/photos/vickisnature/4248737993/
right-braining http://www.flickr.com/photos/17657816@N05/2052487054
“Openness is a much-misunderstood word; a kind of good-will moniker to which people attach an impressive variety of definitions [---] but there is really no universal dictionary, no certification body, and an excessive amount of ‘openness’ marketing hype to help obscure rather than enlighten the mobile industry” – Vision Mobile “The key issue in closed-versus-open isn't private versus public, or who owns a system; often private ownership can encourage innovation. The issue is whether it is easy or difficult for others to invent something that plays off your invention. The strategic question is simple: How easy is it for someone outside of the host company to contribute an advance to their system or product or service? Are the opportunities for participating in your own network scarce or plentiful?”
http://www.flickr.com/photos/bhollar/2882204836 which bubble will burst next ?
http://www.flickr.com/photos/hypergenesb/44194512/
cognitive surplus 100* http://flickr.com/photos/aaronescobar/2170448724/ 1 000 000* *) million human thought hours
site http://deleket.deviantart.com/art/Sleek-XP-Basic-Icons-97279032 - search - social
a new speed of innovation
it’s not going to slow down keep up :)
the future of openness [in mobile!?] or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Participatory Culture Troed Sångberg blogs.sonyericsson.com/troedsangberg twitter.com/troed ;
Summary: Presentation held at an Open Innovation conference in Belfast 2010-03-26, see http://digitalcircle.ning.com/events/open-innovation-conference for more information.
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