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Hostile Climate Cutting Costs and Carbon in the Great Recession Email comments or corrections to cce1976@gmail.com Part 1: Energy
Why? Energy Security Public Health Climate Change
Energy Security = Oil (for now)
Too many eggs in too few baskets 95% of US transportation Globalization Increasing global affluence 50% of petroleum is imported
Why Oil? Portable Before and after refining Relatively easy to refine Oil is energy dense
Oil vs. CNG – Energy Density
Oil reserves are tenuous Environmental Action
Oil reserves are tenuous
Choking on Chokepoints EIA
Choking on Chokepoints EIA
Choking on Chokepoints Nasser Nasser/AP Reuters AA Photo CNN
Drill, Baby, Drill! EIA
EIA
EIA inflationdata.com
ANWR & THE OCS Arctic National Wildlife Refuge 780,000 bpd in ~20 years OCS: 160,000 bpd in ~20 years 2009 petroleum consumption 19 million bpd Price is set by world production/demand EIA
The Bakken Formation USGS
The Bakken Formation 300 billion barrels of oil 41 year supply!
“300 Billion”
The Bakken Formation 3.1 – 4.3 billion recoverable ~6 months worth of oil 2 Bakken formations per year just to tread water
Cliché #1 Insanity: “Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” -Albert Einstein
Peak importation . . . EIA
. . . assumes oil-like alternatives EIA
Cliché #2 “The Stone Age didn't end for lack of stone, and the oil age will end long before the world runs out of oil.” Sheik Ahmed Zaki Yamani Saudi Oil Minister 1962 - 1986
The cost of energy
One giant mess US Coast Guard
One giant mess 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 BP Exxon Valdez ifitweremyhome.com Skinner & Reilly (1989) and USGS
At least the Walruses were safe
Help from beyond the grave
Edward Markey
Skimming the surface X29 BP and USGS
Please disperse BP and USGS
For no particular reason Shell Alvim Corréa
Tales from BP 2005 Texas City Refinery explosion 3rd largest refinery in US 14 dead
2005 Texas City Refinery explosion
Tales from BP 2006 Prudhoe Bay spill 212,000 gallons (5000 barrels) Largest spill on the North Slope ¼” Hole in corroded pipe BPXA
Dangerous Crossing Google Earth F. Robert Bell & Associates
Closer to home 6,400 gallons of gasoline spilled April 2nd, 2008 5 families displaced Some for at least 10 months Flathead Beacon
Coal: The human volcano NASA Smith et al. 2011 Schuster et al. 2002
A river of muck John Wathen
A river of muck NY Times
A river of muck John Wathen
Sierra Club
Mountaintop removal ilovemountains.org
ilovemountains.org
Summary of 2009 NRC Report: Hidden Costs of Energy Energy sources used in electricity generation and transportation Technologies Fuel extraction Production Distribution Waste Disposal Emissions Particulate Matter (PM) Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx)
Summary of NRC Report But did not evaluate “hazardous pollutants” e.g. Lead and Mercury Did not evaluate: Ecosystem damages Water pollution impacts National security
Summary of NRC Report Price tag? $120 billion impact on health and environment in 2005 ~ $1.2 trillion dollars (CBO speak)
Transportation and Pollution $36 billion National Research Council
Car vs. Car National Research Council
Coal is king . . . of pollution $62 billion in damages 3.2¢ per kWh A more recent meta-study finds: $188 billion or 9.3¢ per KWh $94 billion additional costs excluded by NRC $281 billion total (excluding climate change) 24,000 Excess Deaths
(Excludes damage from Climate Change)
(Excludes damage from Climate Change)
Summary Can’t drill our way to freedom Oil industry is not your friend Coal is not clean Coal is not cheap
End of part 1 Next Section: Climate Change
Summary: The first of three sections, this presentation looks at energy security, health and environmental damages, and the cost of pollution.
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