ON-button cc-licensed, see http://www.flickr.com/photos/troed/3326196676 (yes I can has GIMP skillz)

Title a challenge - let's explore it. First we need some definitions: get back to this slide and strike-through-edit it at various places throughout the presentation

What's the industry traditionally seen as the telecom industry, making mobile phones, cooperating with operator channels etc. so, hard to define. let’s see if it becomes easier if we start talking about open, open source

a paper that supports the notion of scratching an itch but – what else does it say? include Tor Nörretranders views on ”mkaing the world a better place” (see The Generous Man)

but xkcd’s version is shorter and more to the point ”but I heard yesterday Qualcomm is looking into this” ;) [OSiM 2009]

currently submitted to 33rd Annual IEEE Software Engineering Workshop 2009 from private conv. re concl.: ”We found that more changes were made in the front end than in the back-end, and that the quality of new modules were higher than of other modules” oss dev. go after the ”oh shiny” parts - the apparent contradiction with the other paper is due to different needs - so is there something bigger lurking here?

picture: “Richard Stallman, founder of the free software movement, the GNU Project, and the Free Software Foundation. (Born 1953.)” http://www.flickr.com/photos/dunechaser/160405823/ http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All_your_base_are_belong_to_us

O’Reilly: This photo is licensed under a Creative Commons license. If you use this photo, please list the photo credit as "Scott Beale / Laughing Squid" and link the credit to laughingsquid.com. 

enter pirate kitteh as well http://cheezburger.com/View.aspx?aid=2350521600

IMPORTANT: I’m not saying RMS nor Tim O’Reilly has anything to do with the Pirate Party! Lots of room for misunderstanding here. ... come to the conclusion that it's about openness ... and that means "the industry" means something other than what we're used to

... and another name for openness is the participatory culture

... and this is nothing new, really, Hippel has been talking about this since the 70s

... and a lot of people apparently read Hippel’s ideas since customer involvement went up ;)

consumer is someone who receives one way communication customer is someone who might get a word in colleague is someone you work WITH <--- that’s what we want so how’s innovation done, then?

it’s everyone go-back-to-pres-outline here

the industry is a weird name for everyone

Define fragmentation everyone wants to add their unique touch, their vision on what should be in the final product to satisfy the end

Define fragmentation everyone wants to add their unique touch, their vision on what should be in the final product to satisfy the end go back to start slide here, or move this to later (correct place)

(I’d question this a bit though, Industrial design is selected for much much higher than that .. find other research) it seems UI differentiation is needed since it’s very high on the consumer decision list so lets bring in roadmaps as well

Define roadmap - and what's a clear route - agree on how a multimedia framework should evolve, what services are needed (mms, and bring up IMS apps here) - route, companies can agree on and build compatible stuff (ohhh my sprockets here?)

I want these to fit in here to show how roadmaps _were_ done. Need some remaking?

example of quick porting of software thanks to underlying open systems. in this case, Android built on top of Linux allows quick integration of existing components. (Privoxy + Tor took mere hours to get working)

Vison Mobile, 2009 http://www.visionmobile.com/blog/2009/08/open-is-the-new-closed/ vs Kevin Kelly, 1998 http://www.kk.org/newrules/blog/2009/09/avoid-proprietary-systems-1.php where to mention the psychological fact that we are happier when we feel that we’re in control?

this is innovation

and its not limited to one platform, difference in rate and catching up ”New project starts” – new apps using Flurry analytics http://blog.flurry.com/bid/24465/Smartphone-Industry-Pulse-July-2009 “While iPhone new projects have steadily increased by 30% month over month, Android's growth rate is accelerating, increasing by over 50% from June to July alone.”

how to select cannot predict the stock market neither innovation (open source is like basic research) Selecting apps is like trying to be a VC. Expect to fail often.

(besides, possibly, hardware) go back to pres-outline here

so, fragmentation is dictated by the end consumer, no roadmap can be settled upon and since you cannot predict innovation there’s no clear route let’s look at potential

reason no linux desktop low level languages – not usability experts companies can force them to work together higher level languages == change!! bring up my famous pyramid?

right braining of society – number of creators increasing ref. A Whole New Mind – Daniel H Pink

-- on emotional: http://www.springerlink.com/content/j88544364k3832r0/ http://iome-locationbaseddigitalservices.blogspot.com/2009/08/our-survey-reveals-new-generations-of.html

http://www.flickr.com/photos/hypergenesb/44194512/ mention Matt Webb commenting on Reboot11 that Wikipedia and Apollo moon landings took the same number of hours in the same amount of time? Eye-opener. http://video.reboot.dk/video/486775/matt-webb-scope ”in the 1960s a generation of explorers went to the moon. our generation ... ”

Clay Shirky (web 2.0 conf, 2008) million human thought hours, http://www.herecomeseverybody.org/2008/04/looking-for-the-mouse.html get figure on how many would ditch the TV if they have to choose (58%)? Twitter by deeped from Distruptive Media 2008 - https://twitter.com/deeped/status/1035839255

the users will find the next cool invention/app all by themselves!

no other software platforms in history has ever has such a close emotional bond thus more people scratching itches than ever and thanks to high level development environments they can, and they can immideately use the work as well :)

right, so. potential, huge.

in the spirit of openness and the gift economy leaving observations

ON-button cc-licensed, see http://www.flickr.com/photos/troed/3326196676

the future of open source in mobile or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Participatory Culture Troed Sångberg blogs.sonyericsson.com/troedsangberg twitter.com/troed ;

Future of the Industry Presentation -What Is The Potential of Open Source? Many within the industry believe the future to be open, yet fragmentation and in-fighting mean that no roadmap can be settled on. What is the potential of open source and what can be achieved if a clear route could be decided? Does open source really have the potential to galvanize the entire industry

Future of the Industry Presentation -What Is The Potential of Open Source? Many[citation needed] within the industry[which?] believe the future to be open[meaning], yet fragmentation[example] and in-fighting mean that no roadmap[define] can be settled on. What is the potential[define] of open source and what can be achieved if a clear route could be decided[by whom?]? Does open source really have the potential to galvanize the entire industry[see earlier]

Intrinsic Motivation in Open Source Software Development This papers sheds light on the puzzling evidence that even though open source software (OSS) is a public good, it is developed for free by highly qualified, young and motivated individuals, and evolves at a rapid pace. We show that once OSS development is understood as the private provision of a public good, these features emerge quite naturally. We adapt a dynamic private-provision-of-public-goods model to reflect key aspects of the OSS phenomenon. In particular, instead of relying on extrinsic motives (e.g. signaling) the present model is driven by intrinsic motives of OSS programmers, such as user- programmers, play value or 'homo ludens' payoff, and gift culture benefits. Such intrinsic motives feature extensively in the wider OSS literature and contribute new insights to the economic analysis. http://ideas.repec.org/p/wpa/wuwpdc/0505007.html Jürgen Bitzer, Wolfram Schrettl & Philipp J.H. Schröder

http://xkcd.com/619/

Analysis of Software Transition from Proprietary to Open Source The open source software (OSS) community has been playing an increasingly important role in the field of software engineering over the past few decades. Today, many large size companies, from the traditionally proprietary software industry, are opening up and embracing the OSS development process as a part of their business strategy. Despite the recognized potential the OSS community offers, there are still many questions and unknowns about the transition process. We perform an extensive analysis of static software quality metrics changes for Ingres, an open source enterprise database management system (DBMS). The software quality metrics of special interest for the research are cyclomatic complexity, effective lines of code, and the degree of system modularity. The conducted research has shown an overall improvement in the software quality metrics and an increase of the source code base. The overall improvement is comprised of a decrease in software quality metrics for source files that were changed between the proprietary and the OSS version and an increase in software quality metrics for the source files added through Ingres OSS community development process. Submitted to the 33rd Annual IEEE Software Engineering Workshop 2009 Alma Oručević-Alagić, Martin Höst

http://www.flickr.com/photos/dunechaser/160405823/ all your source are belong to us

(cc) Scott Beale / laughingsquid.com

changing customer involvement Evolution of Openness – Open Innovation in Historical Perspective - Saarinen, J from: User-Driven Innovation - http://www.foranet.dk

ustomer olleague onsumer c c c

so, ”the industry” .. ?

Future of the Industry Presentation -What Is The Potential of Open Source? Many[citation needed] within the industry[which?] believe the future to be open[meaning], yet fragmentation[example] and in-fighting mean that no roadmap[define] can be settled on. What is the potential[define] of open source and what can be achieved if a clear route could be decided[by whom?]? Does open source really have the potential to galvanize the entire industry[see earlier]

fragmentation

differentiation

http://www.mobile-ent.biz/news/32731/Embedded-content-key-factor-in-phone-purchase Brand remains the number one factor for consumers with 28 per cent placing that at the top of their list User experience was top for 17 per cent Content 12% Phone memory 8% Design 7% Price 5%

roadmap

in the beginning

standardization ”there shall be twelve teeth around a central ring with one single hole and the teeth shall be flat tipped with angled sides and the diameter must be closely correlated to individual business needs depending on the region the majority of the sales is going to be made in and … ”

open source

“Openness is a much-misunderstood word; a kind of good-will moniker to which people attach an impressive variety of definitions [---] but there is really no universal dictionary, no certification body, and an excessive amount of ‘openness’ marketing hype to help obscure rather than enlighten the mobile industry” “The key issue in closed-versus-open isn't private versus public, or who owns a system; often private ownership can encourage innovation. The issue is whether it is easy or difficult for others to invent something that plays off your invention. The strategic question is simple: How easy is it for someone outside of the host company to contribute an advance to their system or product or service? Are the opportunities for participating in your own network scarce or plentiful?”

http://www.flickr.com/photos/bhollar/2882204836 which bubble will burst next ?

so, no settled roadmap or clear route then

Future of the Industry Presentation -What Is The Potential of Open Source? Many[citation needed] within the industry[which?] believe the future to be open[meaning], yet fragmentation[example] and in-fighting mean that no roadmap[define] can be settled on. What is the potential[define] of open source and what can be achieved if a clear route could be decided[by whom?]? Does open source really have the potential to galvanize the entire industry[see earlier]

right-braining http://www.flickr.com/photos/17657816@N05/2052487054

[…] implications that these behaviours might have on the development of mobile communications and how these are different from that of any other information communication technology devices a third of respondents (31 per cent) confirmed they would feel “completely lost” and “isolated” if they mislaid their mobile phone, with a further 25 per cent stating that the loss of a mobile would cut them off from their friends and family and have a major impact on their social life Emotional Attachment to Mobile Phones: An Extraordinary Relationship iome survey

http://www.flickr.com/photos/hypergenesb/44194512/

cognitive surplus 100* http://flickr.com/photos/aaronescobar/2170448724/ 1 000 000* *) million human thought hours

site http://deleket.deviantart.com/art/Sleek-XP-Basic-Icons-97279032 - search - social

a new speed of innovation

Future of the Industry Presentation -What Is The Potential of Open Source? huge! world (surprise .. ;))

app discovery must be social gift economy incentives for openness &

the future of open source in mobile or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Participatory Culture Troed Sångberg blogs.sonyericsson.com/troedsangberg twitter.com/troed ;